The choice is made easy in part by
Mr. McCain's disappointing campaign,
above all his irresponsible
selection of a running mate who is
not ready to be president. It is
made easy in larger part, though,
because of our admiration for Mr.
Obama and the impressive qualities
he has shown during this long race.
Yes, we have reservations and
concerns, almost inevitably, given
Mr. Obama's relatively brief
experience in national politics. But
we also have enormous hopes.
Mr. Obama is a man of supple
intelligence, with a nuanced grasp
of complex issues and evident skill
at conciliation and
consensus-building. At home, we
believe, he would respond to the
economic crisis with a healthy
respect for markets tempered by
justified dismay over rising
inequality and an understanding of
the need for focused regulation.
Abroad, the best evidence suggests
that he would seek to maintain U.S.
leadership and engagement, continue
the fight against terrorists, and
wage vigorous diplomacy on behalf of
U.S. values and interests. Mr. Obama
has the potential to become a great
president. Given the enormous
problems he would confront from his
first day in office, and the damage
wrought over the past eight years,
we would settle for very good.
The first question, in fact, might
be why either man wants the job.
Start with two ongoing wars, both
far from being won; an unstable,
nuclear-armed Pakistan; a resurgent
Russia menacing its neighbors; a
terrorist-supporting Iran racing
toward nuclear status; a roiling
Middle East; a rising China seeking
its place in the world. Stir in the
threat of nuclear or biological
terrorism, the burdens of global
poverty and disease, and
accelerating climate change.
Domestically, wages have stagnated
while public education is failing a
generation of urban, mostly minority
children. Now add the possibility of
the deepest economic trough since
the Great Depression.
Not even his fiercest critics would
blame President Bush for all of
these problems, and we are far from
being his fiercest critic. But for
the past eight years, his
administration, while pursuing some
worthy policies (accountability in
education, homeland security, the
promotion of freedom abroad), has
also championed some stunningly
wrongheaded ones (fiscal
recklessness, torture, utter
disregard for the planet's
ecological health) and has acted too
often with incompetence, arrogance
or both. A McCain presidency would
not equal four more years, but
outside of his inner circle, Mr.
McCain would draw on many of the
same policymakers who have brought
us to our current state. We believe
they have richly earned, and might
even benefit from, some years in the
political wilderness.
Mr. Obama offers a great deal more
than being not a Republican. There
are two sets of issues that matter
most in judging these candidacies.
The first has to do with restoring
and promoting prosperity and sharing
its fruits more evenly in a
globalizing era that has suppressed
wages and heightened inequality.
Here the choice is not a close call.
Mr. McCain has little interest in
economics and no apparent feel for
the topic. His principal proposal,
doubling down on the Bush tax cuts,
would exacerbate the fiscal wreckage
and the inequality simultaneously.
Mr. Obama's economic plan contains
its share of unaffordable promises,
but it pushes more in the direction
of fairness and fiscal health. Both
men have pledged to tackle climate
change.
Mr. Obama also understands that the
most important single counter to
inequality, and the best way to
maintain American competitiveness,
is improved education, another
subject of only modest interest to
Mr. McCain. Mr. Obama would focus
attention on early education and on
helping families so that another
generation of poor children doesn't
lose out. His budgets would be less
likely to squeeze out important
programs such as Head Start and Pell
grants. Though he has been less
definitive than we would like, he
supports accountability measures for
public schools and providing parents
choices by means of charter schools.
A better health-care system also is
crucial to bolstering U.S.
competitiveness and relieving worker
insecurity. Mr. McCain is right to
advocate an end to the tax
favoritism showed to employer plans.
This system works against
lower-income people, and Mr. Obama
has disparaged the McCain proposal
in deceptive ways. But Mr. McCain's
health plan doesn't do enough to
protect those who cannot afford
health insurance. Mr. Obama hopes to
steer the country toward universal
coverage by charting a course
between government mandates and
individual choice, though we
question whether his plan is
affordable or does enough to contain
costs.
The next president is apt to have
the chance to nominate one or more
Supreme Court justices. Given the
court's current precarious balance,
we think Obama appointees could have
a positive impact on issues from
detention policy and executive power
to privacy protections and civil
rights.
Overshadowing all of these policy
choices may be the financial crisis
and the recession it is likely to
spawn. It is almost impossible to
predict what policies will be called
for by January, but certainly the
country will want in its president a
combination of nimbleness and
steadfastness -- precisely the
qualities Mr. Obama has displayed
during the past few weeks. When he
might have been scoring political
points against the incumbent, he
instead responsibly urged fellow
Democrats in Congress to back Mr.
Bush's financial rescue plan. He has
surrounded himself with top-notch,
experienced, centrist economic
advisers -- perhaps the best
warranty that, unlike some past
presidents of modest experience, Mr.
Obama will not ride into town
determined to reinvent every policy
wheel. Some have disparaged Mr.
Obama as too cool, but his
unflappability over the past few
weeks -- indeed, over two years of
campaigning -- strikes us as exactly
what Americans might want in their
president at a time of great
uncertainty.
On the second set of issues, having
to do with keeping America safe in a
dangerous world, it is a closer
call. Mr. McCain has deep knowledge
and a longstanding commitment to
promoting U.S. leadership and
values.
But Mr. Obama, as anyone who reads
his books can tell, also has a
sophisticated understanding of the
world and America's place in it. He,
too, is committed to maintaining
U.S. leadership and sticking up for
democratic values, as his recent
defense of tiny Georgia makes clear.
We hope he would navigate between
the amoral realism of some in his
party and the counterproductive
cocksureness of the current
administration, especially in its
first term. On most policies, such
as the need to go after al-Qaeda,
check Iran's nuclear ambitions and
fight HIV/AIDS abroad, he differs
little from Mr. Bush or Mr. McCain.
But he promises defter diplomacy and
greater commitment to allies. His
team overstates the likelihood that
either of those can produce
dramatically better results, but
both are certainly worth trying.
Mr. Obama's greatest deviation from
current policy is also our biggest
worry: his insistence on withdrawing
U.S. combat troops from Iraq on a
fixed timeline. Thanks to the surge
that Mr. Obama opposed, it may be
feasible to withdraw many troops
during his first two years in
office. But if it isn't -- and U.S.
generals have warned that the
hard-won gains of the past 18 months
could be lost by a precipitous
withdrawal -- we can only hope and
assume that Mr. Obama would
recognize the strategic importance
of success in Iraq and adjust his
plans.
We also can only hope that the
alarming anti-trade rhetoric we have
heard from Mr. Obama during the
campaign would give way to the
understanding of the benefits of
trade reflected in his writings. A
silver lining of the financial
crisis may be the flexibility it
gives Mr. Obama to override some of
the interest groups and members of
Congress in his own party who oppose
open trade, as well as to pursue the
entitlement reform that he surely
understands is needed.
It gives us no pleasure to oppose
Mr. McCain. Over the years, he has
been a force for principle and
bipartisanship. He fought to
recognize Vietnam, though some of
his fellow ex-POWs vilified him for
it. He stood up for humane
immigration reform, though he knew
Republican primary voters would
punish him for it. He opposed
torture and promoted campaign
finance reform, a cause that Mr.
Obama injured when he broke his
promise to accept public financing
in the general election campaign.
Mr. McCain staked his career on
finding a strategy for success in
Iraq when just about everyone else
in Washington was ready to give up.
We think that he, too, might make a
pretty good president.
But the stress of a campaign can
reveal some essential truths, and
the picture of Mr. McCain that
emerged this year is far from
reassuring. To pass his party's
tax-cut litmus test, he jettisoned
his commitment to balanced budgets.
He hasn't come up with a coherent
agenda, and at times he has seemed
rash and impulsive. And we find no
way to square his professed passion
for America's national security with
his choice of a running mate who, no
matter what her other strengths, is
not prepared to be commander in
chief.
Any presidential vote is a gamble,
and Mr. Obama's résumé is
undoubtedly thin. We had hoped,
throughout this long campaign, to
see more evidence that Mr. Obama
might stand up to Democratic
orthodoxy and end, as he said in his
announcement speech, "our chronic
avoidance of tough decisions."
But Mr. Obama's temperament is
unlike anything we've seen on the
national stage in many years. He is
deliberate but not indecisive;
eloquent but a master of substance
and detail; preternaturally
confident but eager to hear opposing
points of view. He has inspired
millions of voters of diverse ages
and races, no small thing in our
often divided and cynical country.
We think he is the right man for a
perilous moment.