LOS
ANGELES (By Lourdes Heredia, BBC Mundo)
February 5, 2008 — "This will be the
Super Hispanic Tuesday," said 77-year-old
Dolores Huerta, the co-founder of the
United Farm Workers of America, in front
of a huge crowd of Hillary Clinton
supporters in Los Angeles.
She was
not exaggerating. In California, the
biggest prize on Super Tuesday, Hispanics
make up about a quarter of the
population and are expected to
contribute about 18% of the vote in the
state's Democratic and Republican
primaries.
The two
remaining Democratic candidates, Barack
Obama and Hillary Clinton, have each
spent $300,000 in advertising on a
Spanish-language TV channel over the
past weekend alone.
"Obama
is a friend of our community. He has
worked for us. Compadre (a colloquial
word meaning friend), let's go and vote
together this Tuesday," says one
commercial
produced by the Illinois senator's
campaign.
However, in spite of Mr. Obama's
efforts, Mrs. Clinton has a clear
advantage within the Hispanic community.
According to a Field Poll on February 3,
Hispanics, who represent a fifth of the
likely Democratic electorate, prefer
Mrs. Clinton overwhelmingly, by 52% to
20% for Mr. Obama.
In
Nevada and in Florida, Mrs. Clinton
captured two-thirds of the Hispanic vote —
and it seems California might follow
this path.
Press
reports have buzzed about racism as a
possible reason behind the Hispanic
community's lopsided support for Mrs.
Clinton, but experts believe that race
is not the main factor.
"The
tensions between Hispanic and
African-American communities in parts of
Los Angeles do not reflect the overall
picture," said Miguel Tinker-Salas, a
professor of history at Pomona College,
California.
For
nearly a year, the Clinton campaign has
been advertising, making phone calls and
sending mail to the Hispanic community,
analysts say, whereas the Obama campaign
started its "Hispanic outreach" too late.
"Obama
was not well-known until recently at
national level, whereas Hillary was
first lady for eight years. Clinton also
has been working with the community for
much longer," explains Roberto Suro,
former head of the Pew Hispanic Centre
and now a professor of communications at
the University of Southern California.
The
Clinton campaign also counts the support
of top Hispanic leaders like Los Angeles
Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and Dolores
Huerta.
In the
streets of Los Angeles, it becomes clear
that a lot of misinformation about Mr.
Obama has gained hold in the minds of
potential voters.
"He is
Muslim, and I don't want to vote for
him," said Anthony Garcia in a
commercial center in Hollywood.
The
claim is not true — Mr. Obama is a
practicing Christian — but Anthony is
not the only one who says he
prefers to vote for Mrs. Clinton on the
basis of this false assumption.
But
over and above any dislike for Mr.
Obama, the main attraction of Mrs.
Clinton for many Hispanic voters is her
husband.
They
remember Bill Clinton's presidency as a
time of economic prosperity — and his
wife has benefited from those positive
feelings.
In the
Mercado, a market in East Los Angeles,
Mario and Susana Espitia said they
felt Obama was a "good guy" ("es un
buen tipo"), but they would vote for
Mrs. Clinton.
"In
spite of Monica Lewinsky, Clinton was a
good president, the economy was going
well, we had jobs, and there was not a
war. It's a great deal, we get her and
the back-up support of her husband,"
said Mario.
Susana
has no doubts either. "It's better the
devil you know. My candidate is Hillary
and I do not have anything against
Obama, but my vote is for her."
Older
Hispanics, the polls indicate, have an
affinity for Mrs. Clinton, but Mr. Obama
does have an opportunity to win the
battle for the younger Hispanic vote.
In
recent days, Mr. Obama has been very
active in courting the Hispanic vote.
"Si se
puede, si se puede (yes we can)," he
chants along with his supporters in
Spanish.
Senator Ted Kennedy, a figure
well-respected within the Hispanic
community for his family's record on
immigration and labor relations, has
been travelling around California,
trying to persuade Hispanic voters to join
the Obama camp.
"Un
voto por Obama es un voto para la gente!
(A vote for Obama is a vote for the
people)," said Mr. Kennedy, with a heavy
accent that prompted laughs among the
crowd gathered at a community colleague
in East Los Angeles.
Mr.
Obama has also said he would support
giving driver's licenses to illegal
immigrants, something Mrs. Clinton
has not done.
To some
observers' surprise, major endorsements
have followed, including one from La
Opinion, the leading Spanish-language
newspaper in the US, that called Mr.
Obama "the best option for a truly
visionary change".
"This
is a historic moment, and tremendous
skills and experience are not enough to
inspire a feeling of renewal in our
country after eight long years of George
W. Bush," said the newspaper.
The Los
Angeles Times has also endorsed Mr.
Obama, saying in an editorial that Mrs.
Clinton had "failed" a test of judgment
when she voted for the Iraq war in 2003.
Although many analysts predict it
will be impossible for Mr. Obama to beat
Mrs. Clinton in California, the Illinois
senator hopes at least to win some
delegates in this state.
He will
also try to close the gap on the support
Mrs. Clinton enjoys among the Hispanic population.
After all,
that Hispanic vote may play an important
role in November's general election,
when the chosen Democratic and
Republican candidates go head-to-head.