PHOENIX (By
Julia Preston,
NYTimes)
February 5, 2008
— Spurred by the
widespread
crackdown on
undocumented
immigration and
by the
contentious tone
of the national
immigration
debate,
Hispanics are
gearing up for
Tuesday’s voting
with an eye
toward making
Hispanics a
decisive voting
bloc nationwide
in November.
After decades of
relatively low
Hispanic
electoral
participation,
last year more
than a million
legal Hispanic
immigrants
applied to
become citizens,
with many saying
they had done so
to be able to
vote. Since
then, newly
naturalized
Hispanic-Americans
and citizens
since birth have
turned out at
voter
registration
fairs and
political
discussion
groups, and
pressed
relatives to
register.
Last week’s
primary in
Florida, the
first state with
a big Hispanic
population to
vote, gave a
demonstration of
their potential
clout. Hispanic
voters, who were
12 percent of
those voting — a
strong turnout
for a primary —
handed the
decisive edge in
the Republican
contest to
Senator John
McCain of
Arizona over
Mitt Romney, the
former governor
of
Massachusetts,
according to
exit polls by
Edison/Mitofsky.
The two
candidates were
essentially even
among white
voters, with 33
percent for Mr.
McCain and 34
percent for Mr.
Romney. But
Hispanic voters,
including
Cuban-Americans
and others,
favored Mr.
McCain by 54
percent to 14
percent for Mr.
Romney.
On the
Democratic side,
Hispanics also
contributed to
the 16-point
victory in
Florida of
Senator Hillary
Rodham Clinton
of New York over
Senator Barack
Obama of
Illinois, with
59 percent of
Hispanics voting
for her and 30
percent voting
for him.
Hispanics regard
voting this year
as a strategy of
self-defense,
said Sergio
Bendixen, a
pollster based
in Miami. For
many of them,
Mr. Bendixen
said, “the
immigration
debate has not
been about
immigration
policy; it has
been about
whether
Hispanics belong
in America.”
Hispanics “feel
they need to
vote to show
they are a group
that cannot be
abused or
discriminated
against,” said
Mr. Bendixen,
who surveys
Hispanics for
the Clinton
campaign.
On Tuesday, 24
states that
include nearly
60 percent of
the nation’s
Hispanic
electorate will
be voting in
primaries or
caucuses. Voting
that day will be
7 of the 10
states with the
highest
percentages of
Hispanics among
their voters,
including New
Mexico, where
Hispanics
constitute more
than one-third
of the
electorate
(Democrats will
caucus there);
California,
where they are
about 23
percent; and
Arizona, where
they are about
17 percent.
The electoral
energy has been
channeled by a
voter
registration
campaign that
has built new
links between
local Hispanic
organizations
and major
Spanish-language
media, led by
Univision, the
national
television
network.
Both Republican
and Democratic
strategists say
that strong
immigration
enforcement and
tough talk
against
undocumented
immigration by
the Republican
candidates, with
the exception of
Mr. McCain, have
antagonized
Hispanics in
general.
“The hard-line
rhetoric on
immigration is
turning off all
Hispanics,” said
Lionel Sosa, a
Republican
advertising
executive in San
Antonio who
handled Hispanic
outreach in the
presidential
campaigns of
Ronald Reagan
and both
President
Bushes. “When
people talk
about building a
wall and sending
those Mexicans
back, it comes
off as
anti-Hispanic.
We say: ‘You’re
talking about my
family, and I
don’t like
it.’ ”
One newly
energized and
mobilized
Hispanic voter
is Silvia
Benitez, 45, who
was born in
Mexico but has
been living in
Arizona for more
than a decade. A
community
outreach worker
in a federal
preschool
program in
Phoenix, Mrs.
Benitez sat on
the sidelines in
the elections of
2004 and 2006 as
a legal
immigrant.
This election,
she said, will
be different.
Among several
recent
immigration
measures Arizona
adopted were the
nation’s
toughest
sanctions
against
employers who
hire
unauthorized
workers, which
took effect Jan.
1.
“We don’t feel
safe as a
community,” Mrs.
Benitez said.
“Some people
judge you now
because of how
you appear, your
skin color, your
English accent.”
Frustrated by
President Bush,
in her
estimation, had
failed to push
through a bill
to give
undocumented
immigrants a
path to become
legal, Mrs.
Benitez applied
for citizenship
last year and
took her oath as
an American in
October.
With her
measured voice
and folded
hands, Mrs.
Benitez does not
look like a
firebrand. But
she is talking
like one. “It is
about time for
us to take
action and make
a big movement
of political
change for
Hispanics,” she
said.
Another Phoenix
resident, Silvia
Trinidad, 20, is
among a
fast-growing
group of young
Hispanics who
have recently
reached the
voting age of
18. A legal
Mexican
immigrant since
she was a child,
Ms. Trinidad is
studying
criminal justice
in college and
working for the
county sheriff
as a detention
officer, hoping
to become a
police officer.
She signed up
last fall to
become a
citizen.
“Every vote
counts,” Ms.
Trinidad said,
“and I will be
able to vote
against the laws
they are trying
to make now
against the
immigrants.”
Ricardo Tavizón,
29, a recently
naturalized
citizen who
sells used cars
in South
Phoenix, said he
wanted to vote
to challenge
immigration
enforcement and
to represent
other immigrants
who are not
citizens.
Eliseo Medina,
executive vice
president of the
Service
Employees
International
Union, said he
was surprised by
the response to
the voter
registration
campaign, called
Ya Es Hora, Ve y
Vota or “Now is
the time, go and
vote.” .
“In 42 years of
organizing, I’ve
never seen this
level of
interest in an
election,” said
Mr. Medina,
whose union is
part of the
drive.
After helping
hundreds of
thousands of
legal immigrants
apply for
citizenship last
year, the
campaign now
aims to persuade
six million
unregistered
Hispanics to
sign up to vote
by November, he
said. An
estimated 18.2
million
Hispanics are
eligible to
vote.
That goal is
plausible,
Hispanic leaders
said, because of
the coordination
between
community
groups, and the
newspapers of
ImpreMedia,
which include El
Diario La Prensa
of New York, and
Univision. The
television
network is
running five
public service
advertisements
about the
registration
drive, while the
newspapers print
guides to voter
registration.
The campaign
includes major
groups like the
National
Association of
Hispanic Elected
and Appointed
Officials
Educational
Fund, a
bipartisan
organization,
and the National
Council of La
Raza.
Hispanic voters
may cast
deciding votes
again on
Tuesday.
Nationwide,
Senator Obama
has pulled to a
tie with Senator
Clinton, at 41
percent each,
according to a
CBS News poll
released Sunday.
In Arizona, Mr.
Obama is ahead
among Hispanics,
by 53 percent to
37 percent for
Mrs. Clinton,
according to a
poll by
Mason-Dixon for
McClatchy/MSNBC.
But in
California,
where Hispanics
make up nearly
one-fourth of
Democratic
voters, Mrs.
Clinton has a
lead of 52
percent to 20
percent for Mr.
Obama, a Field
poll conducted
from Jan. 25 to
Feb. 1 found.
Mrs. Clinton and
Mr. Obama
support giving
legal status to
undocumented
immigrants. But
she has far
stronger name
recognition
among Hispanic
voters, polls
show.
In the
Republican
races, Mr.
McCain holds a
wide margin of
support among
Hispanics over
Mr. Romney, who
promised tougher
action against
undocumented
immigrants. But
Mr. McCain may
pay for his
Hispanic support
by losing ground
with
conservatives.
On Monday, Roy
Beck, the
president of
NumbersUSA, one
of the biggest
groups battling
undocumented
immigration,
sent out an
e-mail alert
that he said
went to 1.5
million
supporters,
urging them to
vote against Mr.
McCain.
Based on recent
trends, a surge
in Hispanic
voter
registration
would strongly
favor the
Democratic Party
in November,
since 57 percent
of registered
Hispanics
identify
themselves as
Democrats while
23 percent align
with the
Republicans,
according to a
study in
December by the
Pew Hispanic
Center, a
Washington
research group.
While
immigration is a
litmus-test
issue for many
Hispanics, it is
not their only
concern. Polls
show that the
war in Iraq, the
economy and
education are
also on their
minds.
With the voter
registration
drive just
starting, its
full force will
not be felt
until November.
But Hispanic
leaders’ goals
are clear.
“It is not
inconceivable,”
said Cesar Conde,
executive
vice-president
of Univision,
“that Hispanics
will have the
key role in
electing the
next president
of the United
States.”