WASHINGTON (By Kenneth T. Walsh, US
News) September 21, 2008 ― Polls
show momentum for Obama-Biden in the
race against McCain and Palin. The
nation's ongoing financial calamity
is a potential game-changer in the
presidential race that could give a
big boost to Barack Obama and the
Democrats.
Pollsters and a variety of
strategists from both parties agree
that voters are increasingly
unsettled and fearful that the woes
of Wall Street, coming on the heels
of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and
other financial problems, will
spread through the economy. Everyday
Americans worry that the turmoil
will affect their jobs and wages in
addition to housing prices, interest
rates, and the availability of money
to borrow.
Obama has jumped on the issue in
hopes that he can finally break away
from Republican presidential
candidate John McCain in the
national polls. He hopes the crisis
plays to his strengths, since voters
for many months have had more
confidence in the Democrats to
handle the economy. The issue helps
Obama in two other ways it gives
him the opportunity to show that he
will fight for the middle class, and
it allows him to highlight the
failure of government regulators
under a GOP administration to
anticipate the current crisis and do
something about it.
McCain's comment on Monday that the
fundamentals of the economy remain
"strong" when the news coverage of
the financial meltdown suggested
just the opposite has caused
him no end of political problems.
James Carville, the Democratic
strategist who guided Bill Clinton
to an upset victory in 1992 on the
strength of an "it's the economy,
stupid" message, says McCain seemed
out of touch. McCain also
unintentionally tied himself to the
unpopular administration of
President George W. Bush, who has
used similar language to describe
the economy in the past.
Summing up the latest Democratic
thinking, former President Bill
Clinton told CNBC's Maria Bartiromo
Thursday, "The latest polls had
Senator Obama up a little bit. And I
think partly that's a function of
the current distress, economic
distress, because I think the more
people worry about the current set
of circumstances, the more likely
they are to change parties. I have
always said that I thought Senator
Obama would win this election
because two thirds of the American
people are having trouble paying
their bills, and
because...Democratic registration is
up and Republican registration is
flat, and because he has offered
some very specific and sensible
economic reforms and healthcare
reforms. ..What typically happens in
these elections if you look
throughout American history when
the country's in a fix and you know
where we're going is not
sustainable, then there is typically
a breakthrough" for the opposition
party.
But Karl Rove, the GOP strategist
who guided President George Bush to
two victories, in 2000 and 2004,
said McCain's comments have been
distorted. The GOP nominee actually
was saying that American workers
remain the fundamental strength of
the economy, but greed and
corruption on Wall Street have
caused the current meltdown, Rove
argued.
McCain spokesman Ben Porritt said
Thursday, "Our economy is
struggling, families are paying
record prices on groceries and gas,
yet Barack Obama is peddling higher
taxes because, as his running mate
Joe Biden claims, it is our
patriotic duty. The Obama-Biden plan
is a failed and backward economic
scheme that will kill jobs and
further hinder our economy. McCain-Palin
will reform Washington by cutting
taxes and prevent earmark addicts
like Barack Obama and Joe Biden from
wasting taxpayer dollars."
Obama spokesmen say Obama actually
wants to cut taxes for the middle
class while he raises taxes on the
well-to-do.
In an E-mail sent to supporters
Thursday afternoon, Obama used the
crisis to solicit campaign
contributions. "The economy hit a
new low this week, and in every part
of the country people like you are
feeling it," Obama wrote. "The
recent financial disasters from
the collapse of Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac to the historic drop in
the stock market are not just a
string of bad luck. They are the
result of years of bad decisions
made in favor of big corporate
special interests instead of
America's working families. More
than 600,000 Americans have lost
their jobs since January. Home
foreclosures are skyrocketing and
home values are plunging. Gas prices
are at an all-time high, and we're
still spending more than $10 billion
every month on a war in Iraq that
should never have been waged."
Obama added: "John McCain's campaign
is doing everything it can to focus
attention on false personal attacks
and distractions but there's too
much at stake for that kind of
politics."
The latest New York Times/CBS
New poll suggests McCain's surge in
public support after picking Alaska
Gov. Sarah Palin as his vice
presidential running mate has faded,
and the race is again a dead heat
nationally with momentum on Obama's
side. The survey finds Palin's
favorable rating down to 40 percent
from 44 percent a week earlier and
her unfavorable rating up eight
points to 30 percent.
A CNN survey of several recent polls
finds Obama now leading McCain 47 to
44 percent.
While McCain's momentum appears to
have stalled, the race remains close
in several battleground states that
could decide the election. The
latest CNN/Time
Magazine/Opinion Research Corp. poll
finds Obama and McCain tied in
Florida at 48 percent, while Obama
is ahead in Ohio, 49-47, McCain is
leading in North Carolina, 48-47,
and Obama is ahead in Wisconsin,
50-47.