WASHINGTON (By Gloria Borger, U.S. News) November 15, 2007 — For the past
year or so, the Republicans handed the Democrats a gift that kept on giving:
immigration reform. The GOP was divided — with the president standing firmly
against most of his party, calling for a "path to citizenship" — as the
Democrats watched the squabbling from the sidelines. Even more to the point,
they were absolutely delighted at the prospect of picking up the support of
Hispanic voters outraged at the efforts of some Republicans to deport 12 million
undocumented immigrants. It was a free ride, and Democrats were happy to take
it.
Until the wheels came off. Hillary Clinton didn't mean to be the one to do it,
but she was. Her struggle with herself over how to handle the issue of driver's
licenses for undocumented immigrants the other week changed everything. Not only
was she caught without a clear idea of how to handle the matter; the entire dais
of Democrats sharing the debate stage with her seemed to be a tad undone by the
question — and pleased that she had been called on first. That way, they could
jump on her for taking both sides of an issue (a fair critique, to be sure) but
delay their own answers long enough to figure out how to straddle the matter.
And they're still doing it.
It's not hard to figure out why. Immigration is a killer issue, one that cuts so
many ways it's hard for a pol to figure out just how to pander. Liberals are
against building that fence to keep undocumented immigrants out; conservatives
are worried the fence won't be tall enough. Most Americans want some form of
reform, yet the solutions are literally all over the map, largely
constituency-driven.
That's a nice way of saying that the Democratic Party — and its candidates — had
better get started. And here's the key reason: Independent voters are unhappy
that nothing has been done on the matter, and anyone who wants to be president
needs to keep independent voters happy. In fact, a recent survey by Democratic
pollster Stan Greenberg shows that the top issue underlying the discontent of
independents is "unprotected" borders. For these voters, the matter of
undocumented immigration is a question of breaking laws and not a stalking horse
for something else — like racism. The public is practical and wants tougher
enforcement. And if the Democrats can't find some way to embrace the principle
of the rule of law, then they've got a problem. "We need to have a strategy
beyond saying the Republicans are awful," says one top Democratic strategist.
"And we don't."
Tough political call
So it's no surprise there's a debate raging within the Democratic Party about
what to do. And the sticking point isn't about enforcement; everyone agrees that
needs to be stronger. It's about benefits for undocumented immigrants. Should
taxpayers provide any? And, if so, what are the parameters? It's not an easy
political call. "The push for more benefits is a killer," says one Democratic
strategist involved in discussions about immigration. "The public doesn't want
that, but it's a problem with some Hispanic leaders." Ipso facto, some Democrats
— like the ones running for president — are unwilling to take it on.
That's a mistake. There's a smart analogy being offered by Greenberg, and
Democrats ought to listen. Given voters' dissatisfaction with the lack of
immigration reform, he says, why not actually offer a proposal to do something?
It could be, he says, a "welfare moment." As in: Bill Clinton's
end-welfare-as-we-know-it pledge in 2092. That plan was a major component of
Clinton's success — not only because it painted him as a new kind of Democrat
but also because he seemed fearless in his eagerness to tread into waters
Democrats had once avoided. Clinton's willingness to take on the issue was
essential to changing — and shaping — the debate. It also transformed him into a
leader. Now Hillary Clinton has the opportunity to do something similar, if she
has the guts. The first candidate who gets there should get the credit.
Of course, that could well be Barack Obama or any other Democrat if Hillary
Clinton's penchant for caution remains. That is, unless her husband can talk her
out of it.